Euro U21 Championships 2017

[sven555]

Poland (white/red) vs Sweden (yellow/blue)

first half will be an even contest, in the 2nd half, could be an opportunity for Poland to scored first. The game will even out and then late in the 2nd half could see an opportunity for one team to snatch a point or gain all 3.

Poland to avoid defeat. Win 1-0.

[azif]

Jun 19, 2017 9:07:12 GMT sven555 said:

Poland (white/red) vs Sweden (yellow/blue)

first half will be an even contest, in the 2nd half, could be an opportunity for Poland to scored first. The game will even out and then late in the 2nd half could see an opportunity for one team to snatch a point or gain all 3.

Poland to avoid defeat. Win 1-0.

Moon is VOC and 29 degrees...I think we may have a draw. 0-0 or 1-1. I don't think we'll have more than 2 goals.

[azif]

Jun 19, 2017 8:57:30 GMT sven555 said:

Slovakia (white) vs England (navy blue) or (red)

Equal first half and then in the 2nd half, game will change. Another possible draw? Yes. 1-1 draw.

I think this game will be played fast, and solved fast. I think we'll have more than 2 goals. Maybe 3-1 to Slovakia.

Just a curiosity Sven, if I may: how do you come with the score prediction? Do you use some sort of program or is it all "handmade"? If handmade, it's truthly remarkable, I must say.

[sven555]

azif, I have a program which scores the rulers of ASC/DSC across the match and then assign teams based on colour. The score prediction is a rough estimate of the strength of the team; the form and a bit of intuition I guess

[azif]

Jun 19, 2017 11:49:17 GMT sven555 said:

azif , I have a program which scores the rulers of ASC/DSC across the match and then assign teams based on colour. The score prediction is a rough estimate of the strength of the team; the form and a bit of intuition I guess

Very well. That's a very interesting lecture (see across the match), because I usually don't use it. Based on Moon/POF relation, I think I would find a much more wider "aspectarianism", which could be great but also very demanding.

You use L's aspects to POF, right? But how do you proceed when the strengh of the L's change? I mean, how is that translated into the ASC and DSC possibilities of victory? E.g. ASC starts with x, then changes into y, so the average is z? Is like this?

Cheers.

[sven555]

azif, there is no average, it is more taking a sample of a specific period in time. So if one team is on top for the 1st half and the other team is on top for the 2nd half, it doesn't mean they will draw; the first team could score 2 goals and the second team could prevent the first team from scoring. but the match ended 2-0.

It is just, while one team has the upper hand, will they take advantage of it. so depending on the overall strength of the ruler, will one team make use of it; and that is where player/manager charts come into it; because you can see if the players at hand will make use of the advantage displayed in the match chart.

When rulers change, I reassign the teams.

[azif]

Jun 19, 2017 12:13:57 GMT sven555 said:

azif , there is no average, it is more taking a sample of a specific period in time. So if one team is on top for the 1st half and the other team is on top for the 2nd half, it doesn't mean they will draw; the first team could score 2 goals and the second team could prevent the first team from scoring. but the match ended 2-0.

It is just, while one team has the upper hand, will they take advantage of it. so depending on the overall strength of the ruler, will one team make use of it; and that is where player/manager charts come into it; because you can see if the players at hand will make use of the advantage displayed in the match chart.

When rulers change, I reassign the teams.

Thanks for the clarification. That's very helpful. Cheers.

[sven555]

Ft: Slovakia 1-2 England

Slovakia took the lead, but England turned the game around to win in the 2nd half

[sven555]

For the Poland vs Sweden match, I read the chart incorrect and made a silly mistake.

[sven555]

My analysis was half right. After taking an early lead, Poland found themselves 1-2 down at HT (This is where I made my mistake). The second half came through and it was very even, until the dying embers of the match; and my prediction of Poland avoiding defeat along with a team snatching a point/gaining all three came true.

Poland scored a 93rd minute equaliser.

FT: Poland U21 2-2 Sweden U21

[sven555]

2 matches tomorrow.

Serbia U21 (red/blue) vs Macedonia U21 (white)

Bright start from Serbia. 1 or 2 goals in the first few minutes. The game will equal and Moon will sextile Mars and then separating potentially giving Macedonia the chance to score too. There is a chance for a late showing by Macedonia, but it could be little to late by then.

Serbia to win 3-1.

Portugal U21 (red) vs Spain U21 (white)

2 of the favourites to progress here meet each other for a brilliant match. It will be a close match in the first half. Spain could take control.
In the second half, the match will be tight but we could see another late showing and Portugal could take advantage and go on to win the match.

Portugal to win 2-1.

[sven555]

2 more narrow misses :/

Serbia 2-2 Macedonia

Portugal 1-3 Spain

Spain took advantage in first half as expected but Portugal never recovered. They got a goal, but Spain finished the job late in 90 mins.

Serbia and Macedonia both had chances on top; Macedonia had the late showing but threw away the lead,

[sven555]

Quick analysis,

Czech Rep vs Italy - Italy advantage narrow win.
Germany vs Denmark - interesting tie, potential slip up for Germany but perhaps another narrow win.

[sven555]

England to beat Poland 3-1
Slovakia and Sweden to draw 2-2

[sven555]

England and Slovakia will not lose in my honest humble opinion. (I was on mobile so didn't get to do good analysis, but with England and Slovakia both leading right now, it looks good)